Increase the countercyclical adjustment of macro policies. A series of reform measures will be introduced next year. From the national development and reform work conference held by the National Development and Reform Commission, we learned that in order to fully implement the spirit of the Central Economic Work Conference, we will increase the countercyclical adjustment of macro policies next year, and solidly promote economic stability, structural improvement and development trend. The relevant person in charge of the National Development and Reform Commission said that a more active and promising macro policy will be implemented next year to enhance the consistency of macro policy orientation.Morgan Stanley raised the opening target price from $950.00 to $1,150.00.Market News: Riot Blockchain(RIOT.O) acquired 5,117 bitcoins for $510 million.
Zhuhai Zhongfu: The controlling shareholder and actual controller intend to change. Zhuhai Zhongfu announced that the company intends to issue A shares to a specific target, with a planned number of 321,224,764 shares, and the total amount of funds raised is 822 million yuan. Xunzhen Investment intends to subscribe for the shares issued by the company in cash. After the completion of this issuance, the controlling shareholder and actual controller of the company will change. Before this issuance, the controlling shareholder of the company was Xinsi Road, and there was no actual controller. After this issuance, the controlling shareholder will be changed to Xunzhen Investment, and the actual controller will be changed to Yu Timing. The issuance still needs to be approved by the company's shareholders' meeting, examined and approved by Shenzhen Stock Exchange and approved by China Securities Regulatory Commission.Analysis: Two major factors, disposal of non-performing assets and resolution of local debts, affect the total financial data. According to the analysis of market institutions, the financial data of the current month are greatly influenced by disposal of non-performing assets and resolution of local debts. The reform of financial institutions has been carried out in an orderly manner, and the disposal of non-performing assets of commercial banks has pressed the "acceleration button". According to industry insiders, the write-off of non-performing loans is only a bank accounting treatment, and the lending relationship between banks and enterprises has not changed, which does not directly affect the business activities of the real economy. In November, some non-performing loans were sold through packaging, transfer and sale, so that non-performing assets were listed as a whole. This part is not included in the scale of social financing, which will have a certain impact on the growth rate of social financing scale, but it will also not affect the financing relationship of the real economy. In addition, the intensity of localized debts has increased, and local governments may accelerate the replacement of debts in the short term, affecting the credit stock. It is understood that the Ministry of Finance has issued new local debt limits to all localities, and some provinces have started issuing them. At present, the total amount of special bonds issued by local governments in China has basically reached the planned annual issuance quota. According to market research, after the financing platform and other entities get the special debt funds, most of them will repay the debts in about 10 to 20 days, most of which are loans, so as to avoid "paying interest at both ends" of bonds and loans. It is estimated that nearly 250 billion yuan of local bond swap will be completed nationwide in November, and there will be a larger bond swap in December. According to industry insiders, for local governments, after the debt pressure is released slowly, it is more conducive to the development of the real economy, which is good for relieving the debt chain, smoothing the economic cycle and preventing risks, and has multiple positive effects. (The country is a through train)The Baltic Sea Index fell for the fourth consecutive week due to the drop in freight rates of all ship sectors. According to the latest data, the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) reported 1051 points on December 13, 2024, the lowest level since July 25, 2023, down 0.38% from the previous value, and fell for the fourth consecutive day. Among them, Panama-type freight index (BPI) reported 995 points, down 2.55% from the previous value, Cape-type freight index (BCI) reported 1263 points, up 0.88%, and super handy ship freight index (BSI) reported 959 points, down 0.21%. The Baltic Exchange's Dry Bulk Shipping Index, which is used to measure the freight of ships transporting dry bulk goods, fell for the fourth week in a row on Friday, because all ship sectors fell this week. The index, which takes into account the freight rates of Capesize, Panamax and Super Handy ships, fell 4 points to 1,051 points on Friday, the lowest level since the end of July 2023. The index fell by about 10% this week. Panama shipping freight index fell 26 points to 995 points. The index also fell this week. Panama-type ships usually carry 60,000-70,000 tons of coal or grain cargo, and their average daily income dropped by $231 to $8,955. Although the freight index of Cape ships rose by 11 points to 1,263 points on Friday, it still fell for the fourth consecutive week. Cape ships usually transport 150 thousand tons of goods, such as iron ore and coal, and their average daily income has increased by 92 dollars to 10,474 dollars. Iron ore futures fell, but closed higher this week. Among small vessels, the freight index of super handy vessels dropped by 2 points to 959 points, which also recorded a loss in Zhou Du.
ECB officials are expected to cut interest rates further. Villeroy supports the market view, and several ECB officials said that more interest rate cuts are coming. Francois Villeroy de Galhau, governor of the French central bank, said that investors' bets on a cumulative interest rate cut of more than 100 basis points seemed reasonable. "There will be more interest rate cuts next year, and many times," he said on Friday. "Although the central bank did not promise the specific interest rate trajectory in advance, it seems to be quite reassuring to predict the financial market". The interest rate swap market reflects a rate cut of about 120 basis points by the end of next year. According to informed sources, the European Central Bank plans to cut interest rates by 25 basis points in January next year, and may also cut interest rates once in March.After RIOT bought 5117 Bitcoin for $510 million, its share price rose by 1.8% before the market.American natural gas futures fell more than 3.00% in the day and are now reported at $3.351/million British heat.
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide
12-14